Monday, April 29, 2024

The Choice

The resignation of Humza Yousaf leaves the SNP with a choice to make. The problem is that for any new leader to become First Minister they will need to survive a vote of no confidence from the other parties, and the arithmetic in parliament means that that requires with support from the Greens or support from Alba and there being no SNP rebels. Given that support from Alba almost certainly means there will be at least some SNP rebels, this is a problem.

The SNP therefore faces a choice, and that choice is of profound importance:

On the one hand, they can "elect" a new leader who is palatable to the Greens, and spend the next two years beholden to those Greens in absolutely every way. In which case they continue with the madness of the last couple of years, and receive a massive kicking at the 2016 Scottish Elections.

Or they can elect someone who is not palatable to the Greens, and take their chances with an election - an election which may or may not rearrange parliament into a more workable arrangement (and is reasonably likely to result in a Labour-led government). In any event, it is only for two years, as the election in 2016 would take place anyway.

My suggestion to the SNP is to think about this one very carefully. Because I don't think the people of Scotland are in the mood for any more of the nonsense we've seen recently.

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